AURUM

XAUUSD

…

Loading the tape

Thin

Stand down

Asian range not on the tape yet.

New York is done. The book is thin and the spread stops telling the truth. I don't initiate.

Before the print

Building · 5d 21h

FOMC decision · Wed 28 Oct · 2:00 ET

45%

Sell

Sell 76%

A hawkish hold extends the offer.

Buy 74%

A dovish surprise is the squeeze.

Buy
28
Sell
45
Aside
27

The minute route is not in yet. The edge into FOMC decision is a sell. A hawkish hold extends the offer. A dovish surprise is the squeeze.

The percent is the edge into the release, not a forecast of the number. Size it only once the phase says armed or into the print.

Walter Bloomberg. Real-time headlines from his X account. He is not Bloomberg News. The public page only returns the top of the wire.

Pulling the wire.

Live price

Bid and ask are the gold perpetual. Switch to My EA and paste the PowerShell connector into the session where your bridge is running.

Pulling candles…
24h high
—
24h low
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ATR 14
—
RSI 14
—

Volume profile

Session

Waiting for enough bars to build the session profile.

Institutional bias

OKX tape

Waiting for the aggressor tape.

Structure · —

Dot plot

FOMC · 16 Sep 2026

Each dot is one participant’s funds-rate midpoint. Funds are 3.75–4.00% now. Medians are the SEP prints. June sits underneath, where that year existed.

2026

4.1

Jun 3.8

2027

4.1

Jun 3.6

2028

3.9

Jun 3.4

2029

3.6

New year

Longer run

3.2

Jun 3.1

4.375
4.125
3.875
3.75
3.625
3.5
3.375
3.25
3.125
3
2.875
Participant Median dot Funds now, 3.875

Twelve of eighteen see one more hike this year, to 4.125. Four see two. The median stays 4.1 through 2027, half a point above the June dot, then eases to 3.9 and 3.6. Longer-run neutral is 3.2. Higher for longer is the headwind. The ounce gets relief when the 2027 dot falls, not when the last hike is delivered.

Eighteen dots. One participant skipped 2028 and 2029. The longer-run median prints as 3.2; the two middle dots sit at 3.250.

September 16, 2026 dot plot, participant counts by funds-rate midpoint
Midpoint2026202720282029Run
4.500—————
4.37548———
4.250—————
4.1251264——
4.000—————
3.8752—532
3.750————1
3.625—3372
3.500————2
3.375——121
3.250————2
3.125—1441
3.000————6
2.875———11
2.750—————

Clean

Pulling the 1-minute campaign.

Route

Pulling the 1-minute execution route.

Waiting for the minute bars.

  • V12 · XAUUSD

Size

One standard lot is 100 ounces. A one-dollar move is $100 a lot. This does not send an order.